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Leadership, Management & Strategy

Strategy Development & Scenario Planning

A practical capability-building programme focused on strategy development & scenario planning, designed for professionals and organisations seeking stronger performance and applied results.

Type
Executive
Level
Executive
Duration
5 days
Delivery
In person, Live online, In-house
Languages
English, Arabic

Strategy Development & Scenario Planning develops the ability to formulate robust strategies in environments where future conditions cannot be predicted with confidence. The programme combines conventional strategy development with scenario planning to help organisations avoid relying on a single view of the future.

Participants learn to identify critical uncertainties, explore plausible future conditions, test strategic choices against different scenarios and develop options that remain resilient across multiple possibilities. The programme is particularly relevant to organisations operating in dynamic political, economic, technological or competitive environments.

Objectives

  • Develop stronger capability in strategy formulation and strategic choice.

  • Understand the principles and applications of scenario planning.

  • Identify critical uncertainties and drivers of future change.

  • Test strategic choices against multiple plausible future scenarios.

  • Develop more resilient strategic options and contingency responses.

Learning outcomes

  • Analyse strategic drivers, trends and uncertainties affecting an organisation.

  • Construct coherent and plausible strategic scenarios.

  • Evaluate strategic options against alternative future conditions.

  • Identify early indicators that signal movement toward particular scenarios.

  • Develop strategies with greater resilience, flexibility and adaptability.

Who it is for

  • Strategy and foresight professionals.

  • Executives and senior managers responsible for long-term direction.

  • Risk, transformation and business-planning professionals.

  • Government and public-policy professionals.

  • Leaders operating in volatile or rapidly changing sectors.

Programme modules

1. Strategy Development and Strategic Choice

Establishing the foundations for informed and coherent strategic choices.

  • Strategy formulation principles

  • Strategic positioning and advantage

  • Strategic choices and trade-offs

  • Assumptions behind strategy

  • From analysis to strategic direction

2. Understanding the Future Environment

Identifying trends, forces and uncertainties that may reshape the operating environment.

  • Environmental scanning

  • Political, economic, social and technological drivers

  • Trends versus uncertainties

  • Signals of emerging change

  • Assessing strategic significance

3. Building Strategic Scenarios

Developing structured and plausible alternative views of the future.

  • Scenario-planning principles

  • Selecting critical uncertainties

  • Scenario frameworks and logic

  • Developing scenario narratives

  • Testing scenario coherence

4. Testing Strategy Against Scenarios

Examining how strategic options perform under different future conditions.

  • Scenario implications

  • Stress-testing strategic choices

  • Identifying vulnerabilities

  • Robust versus scenario-specific options

  • Strategic contingencies

5. Strategic Resilience and Early Warning

Building adaptive strategies and mechanisms for recognising change early.

  • Strategic resilience

  • Leading indicators and signposts

  • Trigger points for strategic action

  • Adaptive strategic options

  • Continuous strategic monitoring

Methodology

The programme combines strategic analysis with facilitated scenario-building workshops, case examples and practical exercises. Participants identify real drivers and uncertainties, construct alternative futures and test strategic options against those scenarios.

The methodology emphasises disciplined exploration rather than prediction. Participants learn to use scenarios as a decision-support tool that improves the robustness and adaptability of organisational strategy.

Assessment

Participants are assessed through scenario-development exercises and a final strategy stress-testing task. The assessment considers the quality of the underlying analysis, scenario logic, strategic implications and the robustness of recommended actions.

Certificate

Certificate of Completion

For your organisation

This programme can be delivered for a single organisation, team or institution, and adapted to your context, participants and objectives.

Organisational delivery is scoped and priced individually, and is not booked from this page.

Discuss this programme

Upcoming sessions

No dates are scheduled at present.

Training & Professional Development

Structured professional learning that develops practical, role-relevant knowledge and capability.

Capacity Building & Institutional Development

Strengthening institutional systems, structures, people and organisational capability for sustainable performance.

Consulting & Advisory

Structured advisory support for strategy, governance, performance, transformation and organisational decision-making.

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Discuss your challenge